Good Friday morning all. Another big market comeback yesterday, featuring a Dow Jones that rallied from -350 to close +162, led once again by Nasdaq (+1.4%) and Semis (1.7%) and our new repeating pattern of MUCH better internals. This bear market rally looks and feels like it has the potential to be the first big one that we’ve had to date.
Read MoreGood Friday morning all. It’s been a solid week for the markets, one that we believe is setting the stage for a strong move into end of month and possibly a mirror image of the first half of 2022. The economy is slowing, inflation is peaking, yields are topping and investors are too bearish.
Read MoreGood Friday afternoon all. Before we get to the markets, which has both a crash scenario along with some of their most oversold levels we’ve ever seen, we’re beginning this morning with “Team Lockstep”. Here’s todays VRA VidCast covering this topic:
Read MoreGood Thursday afternoon all. There’s been a repeating pattern over the last 18 months that’s been as reliable as clockwork; once the broad market indexes hit extreme overbought on our VRA short-term momentum oscillators (stochastics) the markets then reverse lower.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Yesterdays action at the open was solid, only to be met by a warning from JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon that the US economy was potentially facing a “hurricane” going forward. When Dimon speaks investors listen and the big open turned into big losses by midday.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Right at 3 months ago we began our planning for the Biden bear market and issuing our VRA Strategy Updates. We sold our VRA leveraged ETF holdings that focused on tech by selling TQQQ (3 x Nasdaq 100 ETF) and selling SOXL (3 x Semi ETF).
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Quick note: we’re getting an increasing number of emails alerting us to the fact that you aren’t getting our VRA Letters and VRA Podcast Alerts. You know the drill; censorship comes in many forms. As always, please check your spam folder. Obviously, alert us.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. As Tyler covered in detail on yesterdays VRA Investing Podcast (sign up for alerts @ vrainsider.com/podcast), something interesting could be brewing to restore our (short term) faith in the markets. Even as Nasdaq (-1.2%), on the back of the Netflix implosion was hit yesterday the internals actually showed improvement.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. We just put out a VRA Alert to our member’s that we wanted to share here. Is The Gold, Silver and Miner Massive Bull Market of 2003–2011 About to Repeat? To understand why gold/silver may double over the next 3–5 yrs, with the miners jumping 300% to 500% in price,
Read MoreEven as countries all over the world adopted elements of fascism (most all but Sweden, really), for those that still couldn’t see CV insanity as the “plandemic” that it is, after Canada’s invocation of the Emergency Act…full-on hard-core fascism from our northern neighbor…
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. The much awaited CPI data is out and its a hot number, with inflation hitting a 40 year high as the CPI posts a 7.5% annual gain in January. Honestly, don’t most of us look at this number and say “what do you mean it only rose 7.5% year over year…based on what I’m paying for stuff it feels much more….
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Following another wild day in the markets, here’s what looks to matter most. The last 3 days have brought severe intraday weakness…Powell made sure of that yesterday…but on each of the 3 days the smart money hour was “bullish”.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. A big about-face in the markets yesterday, as another weak smart money hour brought steady selling pressures, with each index finishing right at their lows of the day. Nasdaq has now fallen into correction territory, down 10.7%
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. The good news? Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones hit (intraday) all-time highs yesterday. The bad news? It didn’t last long. Following the FOMC minutes, with news that several on the Fed say they want to have “multiple rate hikes,
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Rather ugly day yesterday with a sell-off throughout the smart money hour into the close. And it was the 3rd day in a row with negative A/D for NYSE. It’s been a couple months since we’ve seen that. Weak internals across the board; 2:1 losses in both A/D and volume.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. It has been a mixed week for our markets as higher interest rates and our leadership tech/growth stocks tend not to be besties. As we are wrapping up the worst 30 day period for the markets but also as we prepare to enter the best 7 months for the markets (October- May, going back some 70 years) …
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all.
Following yesterday's ramp higher US markets (DJ, SPX) are sporting gains of 40% from their 3/23 lows, with internals that continue to point to strength but also with our markets hitting extreme overbought.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. Not only was yesterday a big up day across the board, with gains of 1% to 1.5% in each of our broad market indexes (small caps led the way, +1.51%. Importantly we had confirmation from the internals, namely in NYSE up-volume,
Read MoreGood Friday morning all. Some interesting data here; for the last 6 months the markets have sold off into today’s options expiration, with those Friday lows marking THE lows into months end. And here’s MORE bullishly compelling data from our investor sentiment surveys.
Read MoreGood Thursday morning all. 1% losses across the board yesterday but we did see an improvement in the internals (most notably in Nasdaq where up/down volume was flat). The markets are in mini-correction mode based primarily on the 3 factors…
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2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential candidate
Author, "The Conscience of a Libertarian"
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