VRA Investment Letter: What a Time to Be Alive. "The Big Bribe" Continues to Play Out. Another Significant Contrarian Set-up
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Good Friday morning. What a time to be alive. What a time to be an American.
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VRA Investment Letter: Massive Wall of Worry Building…with Extraordinary Broadening Action. Goldman On Gold!
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Good Thursday morning. If you look up “wall of worry” in the dictionary you might just find a picture of the current set-up for our bull market...
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Semis; the Most Important Sector of the Bull Market. Is This the Melt-up?
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Good Thursday morning. Heads up; I’ll be on Wayne Allyn Roots new hit show on Frank Speech (Frank Network) tonight at 7:30 PM EST. Wayne, as many/most reading this know...
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: The Feds Rate Cutting Cycle Has Arrived…and the Markets Like It.
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Good Thursday morning. The Feds rate cutting cycle has arrived. Going against 90% of economists predictions…who predicted a .25% rate cut…J Powell and the Fed actually got this one right by cutting by .50%.
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Japan's Crash & Fed Weakness. This Shakeout is a Classic Bull Market Buying Opportunity.
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Good Thursday morning. After crashing 13% on Monday, Japan’s Nikkei has gained back 90% of those losses in the last few days. After Monday’s selloff, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) reversed course on hiking rates, saying that “doing so in unstable markets is a mistake we will not make”.
Read MoreDid you catch Kip's Latest Interview?
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Check out Kip’s latest interview on The Root Reaction with Wayne Root.
As we see it, too many remain in the dark about the generational bull market underway, featuring soaring corporate earnings, led by consumers & companies in their best shape in decades.
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Fox Biz Interview. Don't Fight the Tape/Fed. Set-up into NVDA Earnings Next Week. Bitcoin and Vanguard.
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Good Thursday morning. It’s always great being on with Charles Payne. There aren’t many smart-money “talking heads”, but Charles is one of them. The reality is that the vast majority of media personalities know that “fear sells” so they pander to worst-case scenarios
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Market Update; Rate Cuts Are Nearing; Don't Fight the Tape, Don't Fight the Fed.
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Good Thursday morning all.
This morning the Bank of England’s messaging made it clear that they will soon be cutting rates. The ECB is very close to that same decision. We expect both central banks to cut rates in June…
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Our "Big Bribe" Megatrends Are Playing Out. Fed Chair J Powell; A+. Our Bullish Case is Unchanged.
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Good Thursday morning. Just prior to publishing “The Big Bribe” in the fall of 2022 we went aggressively long the market, citing our primary base case;
We’re in the Roaring 2020’s, powered by consumers and US co’s in their strongest financial shape in decades…
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Excellent Setup Unfolding Into Tech Earnings. Massive Tech Disruption & Growth. Bull Market in Early Innings.
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Good Thursday morning. We’ve dedicated much of the last week's VRA Letters to the “war risks” and corresponding action in the broad markets. We’re now just a few days away from Q1 tech earnings kicking off in style, with high profile names Tesla (next Tuesday), META (Wednesday) and Alphabet, Amazon, Intel and Microsoft set to report next Thursday. We see a great setup unfolding…
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: More Friendly Inflation Data with Incomes Soaring. Must Own Small Caps. Textbook Bull Market Action. Bitcoins Ramp Higher Continues.
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Good Thursday morning. These short term mini-pauses have done wonders for the overbought readings on our VRA Investing System. Today, even as our markets are just off of all-time highs, those overbought readings are gone. This market still has room to run.
Read MoreVRA Letter: The Worst Fed Chair of My Time…and The Bond Market Agrees. An Overbought Pause in Megacap Tech Will Produce "Buy the Dip" Opportunities.
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Good Thursday morning. As I explained on my podcast yesterday, J Powell went off script at his presser and likely just made “another” policy mistake, which will be his 5th since taking the appointment to Fed Chair.
I repeat; J Powell is the worst Fed Chair of my time…
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Semis Surge to Fresh ATH's. The Power of the Roaring 2020's. Investors Are Getting a Second Shot at a "Dot-com-like" Melt-up.
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Good Friday morning. As if right on cue, the semis and megacap tech stocks surged to ATH’s yesterday, in advance of Q4 tech earnings that kick off in earnest next week. When the semis (SMH), tech (XLK) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are hitting new ATH’s together they’re giving us a crystal-ball road-map for the broader markets.
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Facts vs Feelings and the PSYOP of Negativity. The Fed Pivots - VRA Inflection Points Have Arrived.
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Good Thursday morning. I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business with Charles Payne this coming Monday. I think that makes 8 appearances this year. Always an honor as Charles is one of the really good guys, with a remarkable background to boot.
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Parabolic Move Higher; Next Up. The "Stunning" Reality of US Economic Health. Angry Permabears at Remarkable Economic Strength.
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Good Thursday morning. Following the parabolic move higher in each major US equity index from the 10/27 lows…just as seasonality was turning bullish…on the VRA System we now have each index hitting extreme overbought levels, but importantly this is only on our shortest term momentum oscillators. Combined with the shockingly bullish technical signals that we’ve seen over the last 8 trading days it remains our view that important lows are in place and that pullbacks from here should continue to be bought (if we have pullbacks, that is).
Read MoreVRA Letter: The Fed is Done. Significant Inflection Points Have Arrived. A Bullish "Great Reset” with Seismic Shifts.
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Good Thursday morning. All eyes were on the Fed yesterday, as they delivered their latest interest rate decision. The Fed left the fed funds rate unchanged at 5.50% after its two-day meeting.
The Fed is Done
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Third Quarter GDP Soared 4.9% With Consumers Leading the Way. VRA Market Update
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Good Thursday morning. Third quarter GDP was reported this AM and showed blistering growth in the US economy of 4.9%, beating estimates of 4.5%. This is the strongest economic growth since Q4 2021 when growth was just shy of 7% (coronavirus insanity). Of note in the report, consumer spending rose 4% in Q3, soaring past Q2 consumer spending, which came in at just .8%.
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: The Worst Week for Stocks Ends. Roaring 2020's; US Economy Remains Strong.
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Good Friday morning. The worst week of the year for US equity markets ends today, punctuated by this week’s FOMC meeting/statement and J Powell presser, which…once again…led to a steep sell-off in stocks…Powell’s specialty.
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Put Buying is Back. High Yield Bonds Exhibiting Remarkable Strength. VRA Commodity Watch
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Good Thursday morning. Quick hitters this AM.
As Tyler covered in yesterday's VRA Investing Podcast, as seasonal weakness continues to weigh on stocks we’re already seeing a sharp rise in put/call ratios.
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Q3 GDP Growth Est Now 5.8%. Our Roaring 20's Megatrends Hard at Work. Buffet Loves Housing.
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Last year, and well into 2023, you could throw a rock at 100 mainstream economists…grouped together like sardines…and not hit a single one that wasn’t predicting a recession (outside of Evercore’s Ed Hyman, that is). It was essentially unanimous; the US was headed into a recession and it was barreling towards us like a freight train.
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