VRA Investment Letter: What a Time to Be Alive. "The Big Bribe" Continues to Play Out. Another Significant Contrarian Set-up
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Good Friday morning. What a time to be alive. What a time to be an American.
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VRA Investment Letter: A Golden Age for America. Melt-up Bull Market Ahead.
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Good Thursday morning. Heads up: I’ll be on Fox Business “Making Money” with Charles Payne today in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join us!
Trump’s inauguration on Monday makes it official…
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: This is "That" Bull Market. The Macro That Matters Most for Inflation, Rates & the Market.
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Good Thursday morning. Heads up; I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business with Charles Paynes “Making Money” in the 2PM EST hour. Hope you can join!
This remains “that” bull market. The bull market that surpasses the 1995–2000 dot-com melt-up, except this move higher
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Massive Wall of Worry Building…with Extraordinary Broadening Action. Goldman On Gold!
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Good Thursday morning. If you look up “wall of worry” in the dictionary you might just find a picture of the current set-up for our bull market...
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Japan's Crash & Fed Weakness. This Shakeout is a Classic Bull Market Buying Opportunity.
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Good Thursday morning. After crashing 13% on Monday, Japan’s Nikkei has gained back 90% of those losses in the last few days. After Monday’s selloff, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) reversed course on hiking rates, saying that “doing so in unstable markets is a mistake we will not make”.
Read MoreDid you catch Kip's Latest Interview?
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Check out Kip’s latest interview on The Root Reaction with Wayne Root.
As we see it, too many remain in the dark about the generational bull market underway, featuring soaring corporate earnings, led by consumers & companies in their best shape in decades.
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Fox Biz Interview. Don't Fight the Tape/Fed. Set-up into NVDA Earnings Next Week. Bitcoin and Vanguard.
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Good Thursday morning. It’s always great being on with Charles Payne. There aren’t many smart-money “talking heads”, but Charles is one of them. The reality is that the vast majority of media personalities know that “fear sells” so they pander to worst-case scenarios
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Excellent Setup Unfolding Into Tech Earnings. Massive Tech Disruption & Growth. Bull Market in Early Innings.
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Good Thursday morning. We’ve dedicated much of the last week's VRA Letters to the “war risks” and corresponding action in the broad markets. We’re now just a few days away from Q1 tech earnings kicking off in style, with high profile names Tesla (next Tuesday), META (Wednesday) and Alphabet, Amazon, Intel and Microsoft set to report next Thursday. We see a great setup unfolding…
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: The Incredible Rolling Bull Market. Tyler's TV/radio Interview. Gold Tops $2300 as the Melt-up in Miners Begins.
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Good Thursday morning. To start the week we barely had a day of (some) selling pressure in US equities and the same people that rarely (if ever) beat the markets are already warning of a severe market correction.
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Evidence Builds of a "Generational" Bull Market. China is Exporting Deflation to the World.
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Good Thursday morning. Long-time VRA Members may remember that from the end of the bear market (10/13/22) we’ve written often about the “action” of this market and the fact that it’s largely been “textbook bull market action”. We’ve seen this repeating pattern again this week, as the Nasdaq and Semis continue to rally into market closes finishing at/near their highs of the day.
Read MoreVRA Letter: The Worst Fed Chair of My Time…and The Bond Market Agrees. An Overbought Pause in Megacap Tech Will Produce "Buy the Dip" Opportunities.
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Good Thursday morning. As I explained on my podcast yesterday, J Powell went off script at his presser and likely just made “another” policy mistake, which will be his 5th since taking the appointment to Fed Chair.
I repeat; J Powell is the worst Fed Chair of my time…
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Facts vs Feelings and the PSYOP of Negativity. The Fed Pivots - VRA Inflection Points Have Arrived.
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Good Thursday morning. I’m scheduled to be on Fox Business with Charles Payne this coming Monday. I think that makes 8 appearances this year. Always an honor as Charles is one of the really good guys, with a remarkable background to boot.
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Parabolic Move Higher; Next Up. The "Stunning" Reality of US Economic Health. Angry Permabears at Remarkable Economic Strength.
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Good Thursday morning. Following the parabolic move higher in each major US equity index from the 10/27 lows…just as seasonality was turning bullish…on the VRA System we now have each index hitting extreme overbought levels, but importantly this is only on our shortest term momentum oscillators. Combined with the shockingly bullish technical signals that we’ve seen over the last 8 trading days it remains our view that important lows are in place and that pullbacks from here should continue to be bought (if we have pullbacks, that is).
Read MoreVRA Investment Letter: Third Quarter GDP Soared 4.9% With Consumers Leading the Way. VRA Market Update
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Good Thursday morning. Third quarter GDP was reported this AM and showed blistering growth in the US economy of 4.9%, beating estimates of 4.5%. This is the strongest economic growth since Q4 2021 when growth was just shy of 7% (coronavirus insanity). Of note in the report, consumer spending rose 4% in Q3, soaring past Q2 consumer spending, which came in at just .8%.
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Q3 GDP Growth Est Now 5.8%. Our Roaring 20's Megatrends Hard at Work. Buffet Loves Housing.
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Last year, and well into 2023, you could throw a rock at 100 mainstream economists…grouped together like sardines…and not hit a single one that wasn’t predicting a recession (outside of Evercore’s Ed Hyman, that is). It was essentially unanimous; the US was headed into a recession and it was barreling towards us like a freight train.
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Disinflation is Here. Get Ready for 2% Inflation Next Year PLUS Fed Rate Cuts. How We Want to Play It.
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Good Thursday morning. July CPI (consumer prices) gained 3.2% on an annual basis, less than the 3.3% consensus from economists estimates. On a month-to-month basis, inflation increased just 0.2%, which was in-line with estimates while year/year CPI came in at 4.7%, matching estimates. The report also said real average weekly earnings were unchanged last month, in another positive sign that the Fed can be less concerned about a wage price spiral.
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Q2 Earnings; What Recession? Record Liquidity Will Keep Driving Stocks Higher.
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Good Thursday morning. A bit of air is coming out of the tech melt-up move higher this AM, post earnings reports, as Netflix (-6%), VRA 10-bagger Tesla (-4%) and IBM (-2%) are each selling off this AM. The moves higher in each has been parabolic this year and with our markets trading at extreme overbought levels on the VRA System, a shake-out does not surprise. Nasdaq is -120 in premarket.
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Soaring Transportation and Housing Industries; It's Boom Time.
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Good Thursday morning. So I’m working out this morning when Delta Airlines reported earnings…a record beating quarter for both revenue and earnings…which included the statement that they are ordering a massive number of new planes to keep up with soaring travel demand…
Read MoreVRA Investment Update: Tesla, Semis and Housing; Extreme Overbought on Steroids. "Buy the Dip" Remains the Play.
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We started the week with each US broad market index trading at (or “very" near) our most overbought designation on the VRA Investing System; “extreme overbought on steroids”…
Read MoreVRA Letter: The DNA of Our New Bull Market. I'm Getting a 1995–2000 Vibe. Something Special This Way Comes.
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Do you believe in history repeating?
I’m Getting a 1995–2000 Vibe.
From 1995–2000, Nasdaq rose from 750 to 5132, soaring 584%. Over a 3 year time frame more than 500 companies went public that more than doubled on their first day of trading.
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